Fire SuzakuTier 2
at MVG HVN Regional 4/6
decks
1
(2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.9%
avg ELO +2.6 per match
expected value
53.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1167
· median 1167
· range 1167–1167
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1004
Q1 1134
Q3 1327
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.3% | +14.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 8.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +2.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
